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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+7.05vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+5.63vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+5.10vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.67+2.61vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.73+5.51vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.51+1.30vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.52+0.20vs Predicted
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8Hampton University3.02+1.24vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+0.24vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-0.46vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.39+1.13vs Predicted
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12University of Miami2.08+1.48vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.93-3.35vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.82-4.08vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.38-2.98vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.90-6.08vs Predicted
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17Cornell University2.37-4.76vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College3.25-9.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.05U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.63George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.1College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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10.51Old Dominion University2.730.0%1st Place
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7.3Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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7.2Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.24Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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9.24Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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9.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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12.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.390.0%1st Place
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13.48University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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9.65Stanford University2.930.1%1st Place
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9.92Eckerd College2.820.0%1st Place
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12.02Jacksonville University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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12.24Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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8.21SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lomax | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Lee Dumaliang | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Will Holz | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| John Hanna | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Connor Swikart | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 13.1% |
| Max Thompson | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 27.4% |
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% |
| Andrew Schoene | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% |
| Daniel Lawless | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 13.9% |
| William Crary | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 3.6% |
| Luke Andersen | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 12.2% | 13.6% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.