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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+3.65vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.81+2.07vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.49+5.67vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.26+5.22vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.38vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.61+2.01vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.09-0.83vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.50+0.32vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.88+1.92vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.05+0.46vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-1.16vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.78vs Predicted
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13Stanford University1.60-1.15vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-3.54vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.87-4.07vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-3.75vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.68-5.14vs Predicted
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18University of Miami0.76-3.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.65U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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4.07Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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8.67George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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9.22Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.38St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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8.01Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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6.17College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.32Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.92Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.46University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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9.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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10.22SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.85Stanford University1.600.0%1st Place
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10.46Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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10.93Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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12.25U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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11.86Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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14.7University of Miami0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 16.4% | 15.3% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 17.5% | 17.9% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Paris Henken | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alec Chicoine | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.3% |
| Colin Richards | 3.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% |
| John Lawless | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.2% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% |
| Alex Schwinn | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% |
| Ethan Andersen | 2.8% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.4% |
| Cooper Siepert | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 12.1% |
| Matthew Peterson | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.8% |
| Benjamin Ringrose | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.