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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+3.10vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.88+9.22vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+5.59vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.63+0.41vs Predicted
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5Hampton University2.26+4.31vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.61+2.01vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.50+1.38vs Predicted
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8Stanford University1.60+3.89vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.49-0.60vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.14+0.09vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.05-0.63vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.09-5.54vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-3.45vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.68-2.60vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.87-4.12vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-3.71vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-6.03vs Predicted
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18University of Miami0.76-3.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.1Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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11.22Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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8.59St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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4.41U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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9.31Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.01Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.38Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.89Stanford University1.600.0%1st Place
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8.4George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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10.09SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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10.37University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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6.46College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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11.4Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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10.88Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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12.29U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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10.97Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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14.67University of Miami0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 19.2% | 18.3% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.3% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 17.8% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| John Lawless | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Colin Richards | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Paris Henken | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Matthew Peterson | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% |
| Cooper Siepert | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 12.5% |
| Alex Schwinn | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.2% |
| Benjamin Ringrose | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 14.3% | 37.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.