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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+3.14vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.61+6.14vs Predicted
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3Jacksonville University1.88+8.09vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.49+4.29vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.63-0.53vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+3.60vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55+5.06vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.37vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.26+0.27vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.50-1.41vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.08vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-0.93vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.09-6.92vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.05-4.20vs Predicted
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15University of Miami0.40+0.61vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College1.68-4.33vs Predicted
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17Stanford University1.60-4.92vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.87-7.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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8.14Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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11.09Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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8.29George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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4.47U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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9.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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12.06U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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8.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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9.27Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.59Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.92SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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11.07Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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6.08College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.8University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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15.61University of Miami0.400.0%1st Place
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11.67Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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12.08Stanford University1.600.0%1st Place
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10.73Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 18.7% | 17.3% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 4.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Gary Prieto | 19.2% | 16.0% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 4.2% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Cooper Siepert | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 8.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Alec Chicoine | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| John Lawless | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% |
| Alex Schwinn | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Paris Henken | 9.6% | 11.0% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Colin Richards | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Geoffrey Calderone | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 12.9% | 50.1% |
| Matthew Peterson | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 12.3% | 6.7% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 11.3% | 9.6% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.