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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.61+7.16vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.81+2.06vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26+6.61vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.49+4.34vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.50+3.32vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+2.45vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.88+3.86vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+1.58vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.63-4.63vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.09-3.59vs Predicted
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11University of Miami0.40+4.63vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College1.68-0.04vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-1.04vs Predicted
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14Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-3.55vs Predicted
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15Stanford University1.60-3.07vs Predicted
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16SUNY Maritime College2.14-6.13vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.05-6.67vs Predicted
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18Cornell University1.87-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.16Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.06Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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9.61Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.34George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.32Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.45St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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10.86Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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9.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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4.37U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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6.41College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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15.63University of Miami0.400.0%1st Place
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11.96Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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11.96U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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10.45Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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11.93Stanford University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.87SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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10.33University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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10.71Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Sean Segerblom | 16.2% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 3.4% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 2.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 17.2% | 17.9% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 10.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Geoffrey Calderone | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 11.0% | 53.7% |
| Matthew Peterson | 2.4% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 8.1% |
| Cooper Siepert | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 8.3% |
| Alex Schwinn | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% |
| John Lawless | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Colin Richards | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 2.6% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 3.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.