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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+3.13vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.61+6.13vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.49+5.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.63+0.40vs Predicted
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5Cornell University1.87+5.81vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.50+2.39vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.88+3.85vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.05+2.06vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.09-2.91vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-1.33vs Predicted
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11Hampton University2.26-1.55vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.80vs Predicted
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13University of Miami0.40+2.45vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-4.61vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-4.35vs Predicted
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16Stanford University1.60-3.99vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.68-5.18vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-6.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.13Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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8.13Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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8.56George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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4.4U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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10.81Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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8.39Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.85Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.06University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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6.09College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.67St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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9.45Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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10.2SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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15.45University of Miami0.400.0%1st Place
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9.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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10.65Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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12.01Stanford University1.600.0%1st Place
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11.82Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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11.94U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 18.7% | 18.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 17.2% | 17.8% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% |
| Alec Chicoine | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 3.4% |
| Colin Richards | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.3% |
| Paris Henken | 9.1% | 10.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| John Lawless | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| Geoffrey Calderone | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 51.1% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 2.1% |
| Alex Schwinn | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 3.2% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 9.1% |
| Matthew Peterson | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 7.9% |
| Cooper Siepert | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.