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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.61+7.20vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.55vs Predicted
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3Hampton University2.26+6.53vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.81-0.08vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University1.88+5.75vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09+0.15vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College1.68+4.62vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+0.25vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.49-0.61vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.05+0.45vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.06vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-1.96vs Predicted
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13Stanford University1.60-1.27vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.50-5.87vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.87-4.15vs Predicted
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16University of Miami0.40-0.35vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-6.05vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-6.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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4.55U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.53Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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3.92Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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10.75Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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6.15College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.62Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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8.25St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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8.39George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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10.45University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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9.94SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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10.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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11.73Stanford University1.600.0%1st Place
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8.13Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.85Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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15.65University of Miami0.400.0%1st Place
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10.95Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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11.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.0% | 4.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 13.9% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 12.9% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Sean Segerblom | 20.2% | 20.7% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 4.6% |
| Paris Henken | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Peterson | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 7.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.3% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Colin Richards | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| John Lawless | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 7.9% |
| Alec Chicoine | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Ethan Andersen | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 4.3% |
| Geoffrey Calderone | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 50.6% |
| Alex Schwinn | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.6% |
| Cooper Siepert | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 8.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.