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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hampton University2.26+8.48vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.50+6.62vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.05+7.42vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.87+6.75vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.81-1.05vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.63-1.55vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+1.40vs Predicted
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8Jacksonville University1.88+2.82vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.61-1.13vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-0.13vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.09-4.72vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55+0.42vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.49-4.72vs Predicted
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14Stanford University1.60-2.41vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.14-5.25vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-5.15vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.68-5.31vs Predicted
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18University of Miami0.40-2.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.48Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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8.62Old Dominion University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.42University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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10.75Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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3.95Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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4.45U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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8.4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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10.82Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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7.87Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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6.28College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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12.42U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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8.28George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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11.59Stanford University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.75SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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10.85Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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11.69Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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15.5University of Miami0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Alec Chicoine | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Colin Richards | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.2% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% |
| Sean Segerblom | 21.9% | 18.0% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 16.1% | 15.5% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 3.7% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.8% |
| Paris Henken | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Siepert | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 14.4% | 11.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 8.1% |
| John Lawless | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Alex Schwinn | 3.1% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 4.4% |
| Matthew Peterson | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 6.9% |
| Geoffrey Calderone | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 14.2% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.