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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+3.63vs Predicted
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2Fordham University2.61+6.15vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.81+1.00vs Predicted
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4Hampton University2.26+5.23vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+4.61vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.49+2.45vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.50+1.34vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.09-1.89vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55+3.14vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College2.14+0.02vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-2.45vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University1.88-0.75vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-2.38vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.05-4.16vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.87-4.12vs Predicted
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16University of Miami0.40-0.37vs Predicted
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17Eckerd College1.68-5.19vs Predicted
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18Stanford University1.60-6.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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8.15Fordham University2.610.0%1st Place
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4.0Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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9.23Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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9.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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8.45George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.34Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.11College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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12.14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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10.02SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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8.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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11.25Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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10.62Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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9.84University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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10.88Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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15.63University of Miami0.400.0%1st Place
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11.81Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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11.74Stanford University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 16.0% | 16.9% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Sean Segerblom | 19.5% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 2.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Paris Henken | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Cooper Siepert | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 8.1% |
| John Lawless | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.4% |
| Greer Wattson | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% |
| Alex Schwinn | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| Colin Richards | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% |
| Ethan Andersen | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| Geoffrey Calderone | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 13.3% | 50.7% |
| Matthew Peterson | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 8.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.