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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+5.41vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.57vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+5.64vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University1.88+6.78vs Predicted
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5Stanford University1.60+6.88vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.50+2.34vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.87+3.93vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.61-0.07vs Predicted
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9Hampton University2.26+0.33vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.00vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.14-0.92vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.81-7.76vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.05-2.91vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College1.68-2.61vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.49-6.59vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-3.69vs Predicted
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17Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-6.04vs Predicted
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18University of Miami0.76-3.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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4.57U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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8.64St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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10.78Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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11.88Stanford University1.600.0%1st Place
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8.34Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.93Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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7.93Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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9.33Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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10.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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10.08SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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4.24Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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10.09University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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11.39Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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8.41George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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12.31U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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10.96Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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14.69University of Miami0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Gary Prieto | 14.2% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greer Wattson | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 10.4% |
| Alec Chicoine | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.6% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| John Lawless | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Sean Segerblom | 19.6% | 16.8% | 12.7% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Richards | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.7% |
| Matthew Peterson | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Cooper Siepert | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 11.9% |
| Alex Schwinn | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% |
| Benjamin Ringrose | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.