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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+7.61vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.88+9.19vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.63+1.59vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+2.18vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.61+2.91vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.81-2.02vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.50+1.44vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.49+0.37vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.87+1.97vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College1.68+1.91vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.05-0.72vs Predicted
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12Hampton University2.26-2.27vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-2.37vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.47vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-2.84vs Predicted
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16Stanford University1.60-3.98vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-7.20vs Predicted
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18University of Miami0.76-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.0%1st Place
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11.19Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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4.59U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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6.18College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.91Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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3.98Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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8.44Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.37George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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10.97Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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11.91Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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10.28University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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9.73Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
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10.63Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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9.53SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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12.16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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12.02Stanford University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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14.71University of Miami0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greer Wattson | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 5.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 15.2% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 10.3% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Sean Segerblom | 19.9% | 18.1% | 14.5% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chicoine | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Ethan Andersen | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 4.8% |
| Matthew Peterson | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 8.9% |
| Colin Richards | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Alex Schwinn | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.9% |
| John Lawless | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% |
| Cooper Siepert | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 11.1% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 2.6% |
| Benjamin Ringrose | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 38.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.