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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+5.37vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.47vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+6.91vs Predicted
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4George Washington University2.49+4.27vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49+3.32vs Predicted
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6Hampton University2.26+3.29vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.87+3.84vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.05+2.06vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University1.88+1.78vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.81-5.90vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.61-3.03vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.50-3.37vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-1.03vs Predicted
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14Stanford University1.60-2.46vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.14-5.28vs Predicted
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16Texas A&M University at Galveston1.49-3.58vs Predicted
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17University of Miami0.76-2.15vs Predicted
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18Eckerd College1.68-6.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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4.47U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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8.27George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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8.32St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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9.29Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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10.84Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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10.06University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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10.78Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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4.1Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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7.97Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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8.63Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.97U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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11.54Stanford University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.72SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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12.42Texas A&M University at Galveston1.490.0%1st Place
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14.85University of Miami0.760.0%1st Place
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11.48Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 14.8% | 15.7% | 14.8% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% |
| Colin Richards | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% |
| Sean Segerblom | 19.6% | 15.9% | 14.8% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Alec Chicoine | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Cooper Siepert | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 7.6% |
| John Lawless | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Jonathan Sager | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 11.9% | 12.8% |
| Benjamin Ringrose | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 14.7% | 39.1% |
| Matthew Peterson | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.