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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+2.98vs Predicted
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2Jacksonville University1.88+8.68vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+3.06vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College1.68+7.15vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.63-0.78vs Predicted
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6Fordham University2.61+1.63vs Predicted
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7Cornell University1.87+3.49vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.490.00vs Predicted
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9Hampton University1.08+4.45vs Predicted
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10Stanford University1.60+1.78vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.05-1.10vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.49-3.63vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston1.49-1.21vs Predicted
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14SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.88vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-5.78vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.50-7.89vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.55-5.15vs Predicted
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18University of Miami0.40-2.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.98Georgetown University3.810.2%1st Place
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10.68Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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6.06College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.15Eckerd College1.680.0%1st Place
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4.22U. S. Naval Academy3.630.2%1st Place
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7.63Fordham University2.610.1%1st Place
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10.49Cornell University1.870.0%1st Place
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8.0George Washington University2.490.1%1st Place
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13.45Hampton University1.080.0%1st Place
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11.78Stanford University1.600.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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8.37St. Mary's College of Maryland2.490.1%1st Place
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11.79Texas A&M University at Galveston1.490.0%1st Place
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9.12SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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9.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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8.11Old Dominion University2.500.1%1st Place
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11.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.550.0%1st Place
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15.21University of Miami0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 19.6% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 2.1% |
| Paris Henken | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Peterson | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 5.4% |
| Gary Prieto | 19.7% | 16.2% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adelaide Ferguson | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Ethan Andersen | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Filip Stevanovic | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 12.6% | 14.4% | 17.8% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% |
| Colin Richards | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Greer Wattson | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Sager | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% |
| John Lawless | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Alec Chicoine | 5.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Cooper Siepert | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 7.5% |
| Geoffrey Calderone | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 15.5% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.