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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+1.38vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.81-0.18vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+0.36vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.08-1.33vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.50-2.71vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Brown University2.280.3%1st Place
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1.82Boston University2.810.5%1st Place
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4.36University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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3.67Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.29Tufts University1.500.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Fluehr | 26.5% | 32.5% | 23.3% | 12.8% | 4.1% | 0.8% |
| Charles Welsh | 48.9% | 28.5% | 15.8% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Noah Brayer | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 20.7% | 39.1% | 17.8% |
| John Duncan | 7.5% | 13.1% | 20.4% | 28.9% | 24.4% | 5.7% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 11.1% | 17.2% | 27.1% | 25.4% | 14.8% | 4.4% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 7.2% | 15.8% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.