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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.81+0.87vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.08+0.67vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.28-1.69vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.50-1.81vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-1.53vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.87Boston University2.810.5%1st Place
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3.67Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
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2.31Brown University2.280.3%1st Place
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3.19Tufts University1.500.1%1st Place
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4.47University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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5.49University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Welsh | 46.7% | 29.8% | 15.3% | 6.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| John Duncan | 7.3% | 13.9% | 20.6% | 27.8% | 23.5% | 6.9% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 28.1% | 32.6% | 23.3% | 12.5% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 13.6% | 15.6% | 27.1% | 27.4% | 14.2% | 2.1% |
| Noah Brayer | 3.4% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 19.6% | 39.5% | 20.4% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 5.9% | 18.6% | 69.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.