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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.81+0.86vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.50+1.19vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.08+0.68vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.28-2.69vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-1.55vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.86Boston University2.810.5%1st Place
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3.19Tufts University1.500.1%1st Place
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3.68Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
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2.31Brown University2.280.3%1st Place
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4.45University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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5.5University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Welsh | 47.4% | 28.5% | 16.0% | 6.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 12.1% | 19.4% | 27.2% | 22.6% | 15.7% | 3.0% |
| John Duncan | 9.1% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 32.7% | 24.0% | 5.9% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 27.3% | 32.3% | 25.9% | 11.5% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Noah Brayer | 3.4% | 6.1% | 11.7% | 19.4% | 39.3% | 20.1% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.7% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 7.2% | 17.1% | 70.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.