← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.81+0.87vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.28+0.32vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University1.08+0.66vs Predicted
-
4Tufts University1.50-0.81vs Predicted
-
6University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45-1.54vs Predicted
-
7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.87Boston University2.810.4%1st Place
-
2.32Brown University2.280.3%1st Place
-
3.66Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
-
3.19Tufts University1.500.1%1st Place
-
4.46University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
-
5.49University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Welsh | 44.9% | 31.7% | 16.1% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 29.8% | 29.8% | 24.2% | 11.8% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| John Duncan | 8.9% | 12.3% | 18.4% | 30.2% | 24.2% | 6.0% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 12.0% | 17.8% | 28.1% | 26.0% | 13.8% | 2.3% |
| Noah Brayer | 3.6% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 19.8% | 39.2% | 20.5% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 6.3% | 17.9% | 70.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.