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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+3.39vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.81-0.16vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.28-0.69vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.08-0.33vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.50-1.69vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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1.84Boston University2.810.5%1st Place
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2.31Brown University2.280.3%1st Place
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3.67Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
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3.31Tufts University1.500.1%1st Place
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5.48University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Brayer | 4.3% | 6.0% | 11.3% | 21.4% | 38.4% | 18.6% |
| Charles Welsh | 47.9% | 29.9% | 14.8% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Macklin Fluehr | 27.7% | 33.2% | 24.1% | 11.2% | 3.2% | 0.6% |
| John Duncan | 7.9% | 12.1% | 20.8% | 28.9% | 25.1% | 5.2% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 11.0% | 17.3% | 26.3% | 24.8% | 16.3% | 4.3% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 8.1% | 15.4% | 71.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.