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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.28+1.37vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.81-0.19vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.45+1.38vs Predicted
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4University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.72+1.45vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.50-1.73vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.08-3.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Brown University2.280.3%1st Place
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1.81Boston University2.810.5%1st Place
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4.38University of Massachusetts at Amherst0.450.0%1st Place
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5.45University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.720.0%1st Place
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3.27Tufts University1.500.1%1st Place
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3.72Tufts University1.080.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macklin Fluehr | 27.1% | 32.3% | 22.9% | 13.1% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Charles Welsh | 49.2% | 28.1% | 15.6% | 6.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Noah Brayer | 4.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 19.6% | 39.0% | 18.9% |
| Kelsey Delosh | 0.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 15.9% | 70.2% |
| Bobby McLaughlin | 11.3% | 17.5% | 26.1% | 26.3% | 15.3% | 3.5% |
| John Duncan | 7.3% | 11.9% | 21.0% | 28.0% | 25.3% | 6.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.