Race 2A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jan Kite-Powell 8.8% 8.9% 11.2% 11.8% 11.5% 11.4% 12.5% 9.8% 9.4% 3.1% 1.6%
Brendan Read 10.4% 11.6% 12.4% 9.8% 12.2% 11.3% 9.1% 8.8% 8.8% 5.0% 0.6%
Sam Alexander 10.6% 10.6% 10.4% 11.7% 11.3% 11.1% 11.0% 10.7% 7.0% 5.1% 0.5%
Stephen Duncan 10.9% 10.1% 9.6% 12.0% 12.9% 11.2% 9.6% 9.6% 8.4% 4.9% 0.8%
Jackson Hamilton 10.2% 9.3% 10.9% 9.2% 11.0% 8.6% 11.7% 11.1% 9.1% 7.3% 1.6%
James Amaral 3.2% 4.9% 4.7% 5.2% 5.5% 7.5% 8.8% 12.1% 14.3% 23.2% 10.6%
James Beatty 22.6% 18.3% 16.0% 13.8% 9.4% 7.6% 5.5% 3.3% 2.1% 1.4% 0.0%
Catherine Kerner 4.3% 3.5% 4.3% 4.8% 5.9% 7.8% 8.7% 10.5% 14.0% 24.4% 11.8%
Jade Forsberg 1.0% 1.0% 1.2% 1.8% 1.5% 1.6% 2.2% 3.0% 5.6% 12.3% 68.8%
Peter Neal 8.2% 8.6% 9.2% 9.4% 8.7% 10.1% 9.5% 12.1% 12.3% 9.4% 2.5%
Sam Shannon 9.8% 13.2% 10.1% 10.5% 10.1% 11.8% 11.4% 9.0% 9.0% 3.9% 1.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.