Race 3A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
James Beatty 18.2% 20.3% 14.4% 12.4% 12.1% 10.5% 5.9% 3.3% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2%
Sam Alexander 11.5% 11.4% 11.7% 10.6% 13.0% 10.4% 9.3% 9.7% 7.9% 4.1% 0.4%
Stephen Duncan 10.4% 10.3% 11.9% 9.6% 11.8% 11.6% 10.0% 11.2% 7.4% 4.7% 1.1%
Jackson Hamilton 8.3% 9.6% 9.3% 9.4% 10.3% 12.0% 11.2% 12.5% 9.2% 6.5% 1.7%
James Amaral 4.2% 4.0% 5.2% 5.9% 5.9% 5.7% 9.3% 10.5% 14.7% 25.2% 9.4%
Catherine Kerner 3.2% 3.4% 3.6% 5.7% 6.3% 5.2% 9.1% 9.8% 16.0% 25.1% 12.6%
Sam Shannon 12.1% 9.3% 9.9% 12.0% 9.9% 12.4% 9.7% 8.7% 9.5% 5.0% 1.5%
Jan Kite-Powell 11.7% 9.2% 12.4% 12.1% 11.3% 9.8% 9.5% 10.1% 7.9% 4.9% 1.1%
Jade Forsberg 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 1.6% 1.4% 2.1% 2.5% 2.9% 6.3% 11.1% 69.0%
Brendan Read 11.9% 11.8% 11.5% 10.6% 10.4% 11.2% 9.9% 9.4% 8.7% 3.7% 0.9%
Peter Neal 7.6% 9.4% 9.2% 10.1% 7.6% 9.1% 13.6% 11.9% 10.5% 8.9% 2.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.