Race 4A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Peter Neal 6.3% 7.1% 8.4% 8.6% 10.1% 9.7% 13.0% 12.6% 13.0% 8.3% 2.9%
Jackson Hamilton 10.1% 8.5% 10.9% 9.7% 11.0% 11.3% 11.4% 9.0% 10.5% 6.1% 1.5%
James Beatty 18.4% 18.2% 16.5% 12.7% 10.8% 8.6% 6.5% 5.6% 2.0% 0.7% 0.0%
Stephen Duncan 10.6% 10.9% 10.3% 9.8% 11.9% 12.4% 11.3% 9.6% 6.7% 5.2% 1.3%
Jan Kite-Powell 11.0% 11.3% 10.2% 11.2% 11.2% 11.2% 8.6% 11.3% 7.1% 5.6% 1.3%
Sam Alexander 11.4% 10.9% 13.3% 10.9% 11.0% 10.3% 10.5% 8.1% 7.4% 4.8% 1.4%
Sam Shannon 11.5% 11.2% 9.9% 11.3% 10.2% 11.7% 10.2% 9.3% 8.1% 5.3% 1.3%
Brendan Read 12.0% 11.3% 12.6% 13.6% 10.2% 9.1% 7.8% 9.9% 8.4% 4.5% 0.6%
Catherine Kerner 3.5% 4.8% 2.7% 4.6% 5.9% 5.8% 8.4% 10.3% 15.3% 25.9% 12.8%
James Amaral 4.6% 4.7% 4.2% 6.1% 6.1% 7.8% 9.5% 10.6% 15.6% 21.5% 9.3%
Jade Forsberg 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 1.5% 1.6% 2.1% 2.8% 3.7% 5.9% 12.1% 67.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.