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📊 Prediction Accuracy
34.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
23
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.69+3.71vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.26+8.10vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.87+4.53vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.64+8.92vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii3.83-0.73vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine3.43-0.68vs Predicted
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7University of Texas1.46+6.55vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.90-1.53vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles2.57-1.26vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon2.51-2.09vs Predicted
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12California Poly Maritime Academy2.22-1.44vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.57+0.30vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California2.57-5.19vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego1.57-2.02vs Predicted
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16University of Washington0.63+1.56vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis1.12-1.79vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University1.02-2.15vs Predicted
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19University of Washington1.69-6.00vs Predicted
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20University of California at Berkeley1.01-4.53vs Predicted
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22University of Oregon0.15-3.00vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis0.64-5.73vs Predicted
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24University of California at Santa Cruz1.10-8.45vs Predicted
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25California State University Monterey Bay0.50-7.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.71Brown University3.690.2%1st Place
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10.1Stanford University2.260.0%1st Place
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7.53University of California at Santa Barbara2.870.1%1st Place
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12.92Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.640.0%1st Place
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4.27University of Hawaii3.830.2%1st Place
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5.32University of California at Irvine3.430.1%1st Place
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13.55University of Texas1.460.0%1st Place
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7.47Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.74University of California at Los Angeles2.570.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Oregon2.510.0%1st Place
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10.56California Poly Maritime Academy2.220.0%1st Place
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13.3University of California at Berkeley1.570.0%1st Place
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8.81University of Southern California2.570.1%1st Place
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12.98University of California at San Diego1.570.0%1st Place
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17.56University of Washington0.630.0%1st Place
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15.21University of California at Davis1.120.0%1st Place
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15.85Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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13.0University of Washington1.690.0%1st Place
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15.47University of California at Berkeley1.010.0%1st Place
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19.0University of Oregon0.150.0%1st Place
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17.27University of California at Davis0.640.0%1st Place
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15.55University of California at Santa Cruz1.100.0%1st Place
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17.91California State University Monterey Bay0.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Judge Ryan | 15.5% | 13.0% | 14.6% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tally Buckstaff | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Kaschak | 6.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Lund | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| William Peterson | 17.8% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rex Cameron | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Cunningham | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Hughes | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Philip Gordon | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Scott Doyle | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Aubrey Toole | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Kelsey Rupp | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Nguyen | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Molly Utter | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 14.9% |
| William Van Trigt | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% |
| Debbi Kenote | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.4% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Lauren Amery | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| Christina Wilson | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 15.4% | 28.4% |
| Elizabeth Thome | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 12.9% |
| Connor Bescos | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% |
| Christina Stege | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 16.2% | 16.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.