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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.74+6.66vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.76+3.01vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.63+2.51vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.79+1.17vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.60+0.43vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.70-0.78vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.38-3.50vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.37-2.13vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.78-3.94vs Predicted
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10Harvard University1.61-2.38vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College0.24-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.66University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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5.01University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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5.51Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.17Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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5.43Northeastern University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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3.5Tufts University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.87Roger Williams University2.370.1%1st Place
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5.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.780.1%1st Place
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7.62Harvard University1.610.0%1st Place
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9.94Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Amaral | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 12.4% | 16.4% | 22.0% | 10.7% |
| Brendan Read | 11.0% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 0.8% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 0.7% |
| Sam Alexander | 11.1% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 10.4% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 1.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 10.9% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 1.1% |
| James Beatty | 22.2% | 20.0% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Peter Neal | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Stephen Duncan | 9.6% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Catherine Kerner | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 24.4% | 11.9% |
| Jade Forsberg | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 68.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.