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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
James Amaral 2.9% 4.3% 4.1% 5.5% 4.2% 8.1% 9.4% 12.4% 16.4% 22.0% 10.7%
Brendan Read 11.0% 10.8% 12.1% 12.7% 11.3% 9.5% 10.1% 10.8% 6.7% 4.2% 0.8%
Sam Shannon 9.4% 9.5% 9.8% 10.0% 9.7% 10.0% 13.8% 10.9% 9.3% 6.9% 0.7%
Sam Alexander 11.1% 9.5% 10.2% 11.5% 12.4% 12.7% 10.0% 8.3% 8.4% 4.7% 1.2%
Jackson Hamilton 10.4% 9.0% 11.0% 9.0% 11.7% 10.1% 10.6% 11.4% 8.9% 6.2% 1.7%
Jan Kite-Powell 10.9% 10.3% 10.6% 11.6% 10.9% 10.6% 10.1% 9.3% 8.5% 6.1% 1.1%
James Beatty 22.2% 20.0% 15.3% 11.9% 11.3% 8.0% 4.8% 3.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Peter Neal 7.8% 8.5% 8.6% 10.3% 9.4% 10.9% 10.8% 9.7% 12.2% 9.6% 2.2%
Stephen Duncan 9.6% 13.2% 12.6% 11.5% 9.7% 10.6% 9.1% 10.3% 7.1% 4.7% 1.6%
Catherine Kerner 3.7% 3.9% 4.6% 5.3% 6.8% 6.7% 9.3% 9.6% 13.8% 24.4% 11.9%
Jade Forsberg 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 0.7% 2.6% 2.8% 2.0% 4.3% 6.0% 10.4% 68.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.