Race 8A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
James Beatty 18.9% 19.4% 14.2% 12.4% 13.2% 9.9% 5.2% 4.3% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Sam Alexander 11.0% 11.9% 12.2% 11.9% 10.5% 12.4% 8.7% 9.6% 6.9% 4.1% 0.8%
Jan Kite-Powell 9.7% 8.8% 12.1% 10.4% 9.9% 10.9% 11.4% 11.5% 8.8% 5.3% 1.2%
Jackson Hamilton 9.1% 8.3% 8.9% 10.1% 9.8% 12.2% 11.9% 11.4% 10.2% 6.1% 2.0%
Brendan Read 12.3% 11.6% 11.2% 9.7% 10.9% 10.5% 10.4% 9.2% 8.0% 5.0% 1.2%
Sam Shannon 9.8% 10.6% 9.6% 10.9% 11.1% 10.0% 10.9% 9.8% 8.7% 7.1% 1.5%
Stephen Duncan 13.1% 12.3% 12.1% 11.2% 10.9% 10.0% 10.6% 9.6% 5.3% 4.2% 0.7%
Peter Neal 8.4% 6.7% 10.1% 9.8% 9.1% 9.7% 12.1% 9.5% 12.3% 9.6% 2.7%
Catherine Kerner 3.0% 5.3% 2.8% 5.3% 6.0% 5.8% 6.3% 11.5% 15.4% 24.2% 14.4%
Jade Forsberg 0.7% 0.8% 1.0% 2.1% 1.6% 2.0% 2.4% 3.5% 5.8% 13.2% 66.9%
James Amaral 4.0% 4.3% 5.8% 6.2% 7.0% 6.6% 10.1% 10.1% 16.8% 20.5% 8.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.