Race 11A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Dakota Northrup 13.3% 16.8% 14.5% 15.2% 11.1% 11.9% 9.0% 4.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
James Beatty 22.6% 18.2% 16.9% 11.9% 12.2% 7.7% 5.9% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Stephen Duncan 10.5% 10.5% 12.7% 11.3% 13.4% 12.2% 12.4% 9.1% 6.2% 1.6% 0.1%
Jackson Hamilton 9.0% 8.6% 9.7% 10.4% 12.9% 12.2% 14.3% 12.1% 8.9% 1.7% 0.2%
Ed Lebens 5.1% 5.3% 6.4% 6.4% 8.2% 8.7% 11.8% 16.1% 20.5% 10.9% 0.6%
Sam Shannon 10.7% 10.4% 10.5% 11.8% 11.2% 12.2% 11.5% 11.0% 7.8% 2.6% 0.3%
Catherine Kerner 4.4% 4.8% 4.1% 6.7% 6.6% 8.2% 9.4% 15.7% 24.1% 15.1% 0.9%
Jade Forsberg 1.1% 1.4% 0.5% 1.1% 1.9% 2.7% 2.7% 5.9% 14.6% 52.8% 15.3%
Jan Kite-Powell 10.8% 11.1% 10.9% 12.3% 11.0% 11.8% 11.8% 12.0% 6.7% 1.3% 0.3%
Noah Stern 0.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.7% 0.9% 3.6% 11.5% 82.0%
Sam Alexander 12.3% 12.6% 13.8% 12.8% 11.0% 12.2% 10.5% 8.9% 3.9% 1.8% 0.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.