Race 3B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Alexander Tong 19.6% 19.9% 15.2% 16.1% 12.2% 8.6% 4.3% 2.4% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Preston Duclos 11.6% 12.7% 12.3% 14.2% 13.3% 11.0% 9.0% 8.4% 5.7% 1.5% 0.3%
Andrew Puopolo 6.6% 6.6% 8.3% 7.2% 11.2% 11.1% 12.8% 14.7% 10.0% 9.1% 2.4%
Peter Girard 4.5% 4.9% 6.2% 6.3% 9.1% 8.3% 14.2% 14.6% 14.0% 11.5% 6.4%
Lindsey Baab 20.8% 17.8% 17.8% 13.6% 9.3% 8.8% 6.1% 3.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 6.2% 9.0% 7.8% 9.3% 10.7% 13.3% 10.9% 13.3% 9.3% 7.6% 2.6%
Amina Brown 18.3% 16.6% 15.5% 13.3% 12.2% 9.4% 6.2% 4.3% 2.4% 1.5% 0.3%
Alexander Baskin 3.1% 3.4% 3.7% 4.5% 6.8% 7.6% 10.1% 9.9% 15.9% 20.0% 15.0%
Brian Baker 4.3% 4.3% 6.2% 7.7% 6.6% 9.3% 12.1% 13.7% 14.9% 13.4% 7.5%
Joseph Chamberlin 3.9% 3.5% 5.4% 6.2% 5.9% 9.5% 9.9% 10.8% 15.6% 18.5% 10.8%
River Iannaccone 1.1% 1.3% 1.6% 1.6% 2.7% 3.1% 4.4% 4.9% 8.5% 16.1% 54.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.