Race 4B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Preston Duclos 10.0% 11.6% 12.9% 13.0% 13.6% 13.5% 11.3% 6.9% 4.7% 2.0% 0.5%
Alexander Tong 22.2% 20.0% 15.4% 14.9% 10.3% 8.7% 4.3% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Christensen 6.7% 7.2% 7.7% 8.6% 10.8% 12.1% 12.1% 13.3% 10.4% 8.8% 2.3%
Lindsey Baab 18.3% 17.4% 16.8% 15.5% 11.9% 7.9% 6.2% 3.6% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Peter Girard 5.9% 5.5% 6.4% 7.7% 8.7% 9.3% 11.5% 12.2% 14.5% 13.2% 5.1%
Andrew Puopolo 7.0% 6.8% 9.3% 8.7% 10.8% 10.8% 12.6% 12.3% 9.5% 8.7% 3.5%
Brian Baker 5.6% 4.9% 5.5% 7.9% 7.6% 10.5% 11.8% 12.6% 15.1% 11.7% 6.8%
Amina Brown 16.4% 17.1% 17.5% 11.9% 11.9% 8.8% 7.7% 4.8% 2.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Joseph Chamberlin 4.0% 4.3% 3.4% 5.1% 6.1% 9.2% 8.7% 12.2% 17.3% 17.7% 12.0%
Alexander Baskin 3.0% 3.9% 3.8% 4.9% 5.5% 6.6% 9.4% 12.3% 15.4% 20.4% 14.8%
River Iannaccone 0.9% 1.3% 1.3% 1.8% 2.8% 2.6% 4.4% 6.8% 7.6% 15.6% 54.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.