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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.83+5.72vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.26+1.42vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+0.67vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+0.14vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.69+1.95vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.68-1.29vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.12-1.20vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire0.27+1.58vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College1.26-1.02vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.16-4.29vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-3.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.72University of Rhode Island1.830.0%1st Place
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3.42Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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3.67Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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4.14University of Vermont2.960.2%1st Place
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6.95Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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4.71Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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5.8Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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9.58University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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7.98Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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5.71Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Girard | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 4.2% |
| Alexander Tong | 21.6% | 20.5% | 15.6% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 18.0% | 18.8% | 16.2% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 15.7% | 13.7% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Brian Baker | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 13.8% | 13.5% | 14.0% | 8.5% |
| Preston Duclos | 12.1% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 9.9% | 16.5% | 53.4% |
| Alexander Baskin | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 21.7% | 16.7% |
| Peter Christensen | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 1.8% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 14.7% | 18.2% | 10.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.