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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University1.69+6.07vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.96+1.98vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.68+1.82vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83+1.58vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.26-2.53vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+0.33vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.12-2.15vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.16-3.07vs Predicted
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10University of New Hampshire0.27-0.45vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College1.26-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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3.98University of Vermont2.960.2%1st Place
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4.82Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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3.65Brown University3.200.2%1st Place
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6.58University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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3.47Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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5.85Harvard University2.120.1%1st Place
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5.93Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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9.55University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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7.77Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Baker | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 6.7% |
| Amina Brown | 17.5% | 15.8% | 15.0% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Preston Duclos | 11.6% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 18.7% | 18.0% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Peter Girard | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 12.3% | 5.3% |
| Alexander Tong | 21.1% | 20.2% | 16.1% | 14.3% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 18.2% | 10.6% |
| Andrew Puopolo | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 2.9% |
| Peter Christensen | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.1% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 13.9% | 56.3% |
| Alexander Baskin | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 21.7% | 14.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.