Race 8B

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Andrew Puopolo 5.3% 7.0% 8.2% 9.6% 9.9% 12.9% 13.3% 13.2% 10.6% 6.9% 3.1%
Preston Duclos 12.4% 12.6% 12.9% 13.5% 12.8% 11.5% 9.4% 8.1% 5.3% 1.0% 0.5%
Amina Brown 14.4% 15.0% 15.1% 14.9% 11.6% 10.7% 8.9% 5.6% 2.6% 1.2% 0.0%
Peter Girard 4.0% 6.0% 5.9% 6.2% 8.6% 8.9% 12.1% 14.7% 14.5% 12.3% 6.8%
Alexander Tong 21.7% 19.6% 17.5% 13.4% 9.8% 7.5% 6.0% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Lindsey Baab 20.8% 19.4% 16.6% 13.5% 9.8% 8.7% 4.4% 4.3% 1.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Brian Baker 5.8% 4.6% 6.5% 6.3% 9.3% 8.8% 11.6% 12.5% 15.4% 12.5% 6.7%
Joseph Chamberlin 3.9% 4.0% 3.5% 6.6% 7.6% 8.8% 10.6% 12.3% 12.9% 19.5% 10.3%
Peter Christensen 7.3% 7.4% 8.5% 9.2% 11.7% 11.4% 12.1% 11.3% 11.3% 6.2% 3.6%
Alexander Baskin 3.2% 3.6% 4.0% 4.3% 6.8% 7.1% 7.7% 10.4% 15.4% 22.4% 15.1%
River Iannaccone 1.2% 0.8% 1.3% 2.5% 2.1% 3.7% 3.9% 4.9% 9.0% 16.8% 53.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.