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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.26+2.41vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.68+2.52vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+1.07vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.69+0.65vs Predicted
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5Northeastern University2.16+0.68vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-1.96vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.69-0.46vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.83-1.66vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire0.27+0.27vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.26-2.50vs Predicted
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11Harvard University-0.34-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.41Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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4.52Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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4.65Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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5.68Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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4.04Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.2%1st Place
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6.54Salve Regina University1.690.1%1st Place
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6.34University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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9.27University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
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7.5Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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9.98Harvard University-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Tong | 20.5% | 19.9% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 8.4% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Preston Duclos | 13.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Amina Brown | 15.0% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Franco Bilik | 11.7% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Peter Christensen | 7.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 0.4% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 15.9% | 15.8% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brian Baker | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 16.6% | 8.9% | 2.6% |
| Peter Girard | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 11.7% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 8.3% | 1.4% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 32.5% | 33.1% |
| Alexander Baskin | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 6.1% |
| Juan Crestanello | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 7.5% | 23.9% | 55.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.