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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.68+3.61vs Predicted
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2Brown University2.69+2.50vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.26+0.44vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.96+0.04vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.83+1.37vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-1.99vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.16-1.50vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College1.26-0.47vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.69-2.22vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.34-0.02vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire0.27-1.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.61Roger Williams University2.680.1%1st Place
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4.5Brown University2.690.1%1st Place
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3.44Tufts University3.260.2%1st Place
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4.04University of Vermont2.960.2%1st Place
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6.37University of Rhode Island1.830.1%1st Place
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4.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.2%1st Place
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5.5Northeastern University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.53Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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6.78Salve Regina University1.690.0%1st Place
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9.98Harvard University-0.340.0%1st Place
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9.24University of New Hampshire0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Duclos | 10.8% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.0% | 7.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Franco Bilik | 13.2% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Tong | 20.4% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amina Brown | 15.7% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 14.2% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Peter Girard | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 15.7% | 16.0% | 8.5% | 1.6% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 16.9% | 14.5% | 15.6% | 15.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Peter Christensen | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Baskin | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 20.0% | 19.1% | 6.5% |
| Brian Baker | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 10.2% | 3.1% |
| Juan Crestanello | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 19.1% | 59.6% |
| River Iannaccone | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 14.8% | 34.9% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.