← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Lindsay Doyle 13.9% 15.8% 13.8% 14.1% 13.8% 12.4% 8.7% 4.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Christopher Pearson 7.2% 6.4% 8.5% 11.0% 9.1% 12.7% 15.2% 13.2% 12.4% 3.1% 1.2%
Kurran Singh 6.1% 6.2% 6.7% 6.9% 10.3% 11.3% 13.7% 15.0% 16.2% 7.0% 0.6%
Sophie Hibben 21.9% 19.4% 18.3% 14.6% 11.3% 7.6% 3.4% 2.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Julien Guiot 15.5% 13.6% 14.0% 12.8% 12.6% 11.0% 9.2% 7.0% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Victoria Marquez 5.4% 7.7% 8.2% 7.2% 10.7% 10.8% 13.0% 16.0% 13.1% 6.6% 1.3%
Lucie Ford 4.4% 4.3% 4.5% 6.7% 6.1% 8.0% 10.6% 15.2% 21.6% 15.8% 2.8%
James Peraire-Bueno 7.7% 7.4% 9.4% 11.1% 11.0% 11.7% 12.1% 14.0% 11.3% 3.7% 0.6%
Daniel Petrovic 16.7% 18.3% 15.3% 13.3% 11.3% 9.8% 8.0% 4.5% 2.4% 0.1% 0.3%
Alexie Lessing 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.6% 2.4% 2.6% 3.7% 7.6% 27.0% 52.6%
Morgan Tanski 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 1.3% 2.2% 2.3% 3.5% 4.2% 8.9% 35.3% 40.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.