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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.58+3.11vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.78+3.79vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.66+3.24vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.02-0.71vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.48-0.75vs Predicted
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6Harvard University1.65+0.10vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.10+0.11vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-2.38vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.73-5.14vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.68-0.06vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.53-1.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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6.24Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
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3.29Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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4.25Tufts University2.480.2%1st Place
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6.1Harvard University1.650.1%1st Place
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7.11Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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5.62Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.1%1st Place
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3.86Roger Williams University2.730.2%1st Place
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9.94Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.69University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Doyle | 13.9% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 12.4% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| Kurran Singh | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 16.2% | 7.0% | 0.6% |
| Sophie Hibben | 21.9% | 19.4% | 18.3% | 14.6% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julien Guiot | 15.5% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Marquez | 5.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 6.6% | 1.3% |
| Lucie Ford | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 21.6% | 15.8% | 2.8% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 3.7% | 0.6% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 16.7% | 18.3% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 27.0% | 52.6% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.9% | 35.3% | 40.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.