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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.50+7.09vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+7.05vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.68+4.55vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.75+7.27vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.79+2.00vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.92+0.82vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+0.11vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50+0.10vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.72+2.59vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.86+0.73vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College2.90-0.19vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.20-2.51vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.10-2.96vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University3.39-5.09vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.88-4.28vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University4.51-11.36vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.81-5.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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9.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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7.55Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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11.27Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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6.82University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.1Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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11.59Tufts University2.720.0%1st Place
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10.73University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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10.81Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.49College of Charleston3.200.0%1st Place
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10.04Yale University3.100.0%1st Place
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8.91Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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10.72U. S. Naval Academy2.880.0%1st Place
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4.64Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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11.08Harvard University2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Maxwell | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.7% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Maggie Shea | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 15.0% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Amy Hawkins | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Megan Magill | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Meghan Pesch | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 15.1% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.9% | 10.9% |
| Grace Lucas | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% |
| Genoa Warner | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% |
| Morgan Wilson | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% |
| Marissa Lihan | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 10.7% |
| Sydney Bolger | 14.9% | 17.8% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Morgan Russom | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.