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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.94+2.20vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy0.26+1.89vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.45+2.34vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland0.92-1.24vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.85+1.37vs Predicted
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6Washington College-0.55-0.29vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-1.19+0.27vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-1.63vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-1.92-0.11vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.13-0.67vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-2.38-1.35vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.05-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2U. S. Naval Academy0.9423.2%1st Place
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3.89U. S. Naval Academy0.2614.8%1st Place
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5.34Princeton University-0.458.1%1st Place
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2.76St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9228.3%1st Place
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6.37Drexel University-0.855.2%1st Place
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5.71Washington College-0.557.2%1st Place
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7.27Unknown School-1.193.0%1st Place
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6.37University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.834.9%1st Place
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8.89Catholic University of America-1.921.7%1st Place
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9.33Syracuse University-2.131.2%1st Place
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9.65St. John's College-2.381.5%1st Place
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9.2University of Delaware-2.050.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ziman | 23.2% | 20.0% | 18.1% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 14.8% | 16.2% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 13.1% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Berkley Yiu | 8.1% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 12.7% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Scott Opert | 28.3% | 24.2% | 18.7% | 12.7% | 8.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Randle | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 12.6% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 8.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Austin Latimer | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 13.8% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Walker Aprill | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 13.5% | 7.8% | 3.8% |
| Henry Powell | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Christian Aron | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 19.9% | 15.8% |
| Antonio Aaron | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 18.6% | 23.4% |
| Leo Schumwinger | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 13.7% | 20.2% | 32.1% |
| Brendan van Riper | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 15.8% | 20.6% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.