Race 4C

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Daniel Petrovic 14.5% 18.5% 16.4% 14.8% 14.0% 10.7% 6.5% 3.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Kurran Singh 5.8% 6.7% 8.4% 9.0% 9.5% 12.6% 14.4% 15.4% 11.2% 5.6% 1.4%
Christopher Pearson 6.4% 6.7% 7.7% 8.8% 11.1% 10.2% 15.1% 16.0% 12.9% 4.6% 0.5%
James Peraire-Bueno 6.0% 7.2% 7.1% 9.6% 10.4% 13.5% 14.5% 14.3% 12.1% 4.7% 0.6%
Julien Guiot 14.4% 13.1% 14.2% 14.7% 14.2% 9.0% 9.1% 6.1% 4.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Lindsay Doyle 14.5% 16.7% 15.3% 14.4% 12.4% 8.9% 7.3% 7.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Sophie Hibben 28.2% 19.8% 16.4% 11.8% 10.4% 6.6% 4.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Lucie Ford 3.8% 3.5% 4.6% 5.7% 7.2% 10.4% 10.9% 13.4% 22.9% 14.5% 3.1%
Victoria Marquez 5.2% 6.6% 8.5% 8.8% 7.4% 14.1% 12.1% 14.0% 16.5% 5.2% 1.6%
Alexie Lessing 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 1.4% 1.6% 3.3% 4.3% 7.0% 26.9% 52.5%
Morgan Tanski 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 2.0% 2.4% 2.8% 4.7% 8.3% 36.3% 40.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.