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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.58+3.16vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.73+1.71vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.48+1.42vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University1.66+2.28vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+0.75vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.02-2.76vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.78-1.38vs Predicted
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8Harvard University1.65-2.01vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.68+0.94vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.10-2.84vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.53-1.25vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.16University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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3.71Roger Williams University2.730.2%1st Place
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4.42Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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6.28Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
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5.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.1%1st Place
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3.24Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.62University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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5.99Harvard University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.94Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.16Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.75University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay Doyle | 13.4% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 15.1% | 13.8% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 19.5% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julien Guiot | 13.0% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 14.2% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 15.8% | 5.9% | 1.3% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 10.4% | 5.4% | 0.4% |
| Sophie Hibben | 23.0% | 21.8% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Pearson | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 0.7% |
| Victoria Marquez | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 12.9% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 7.8% | 27.7% | 52.7% |
| Lucie Ford | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 23.1% | 13.7% | 3.3% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 9.1% | 35.8% | 40.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.