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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.02+2.27vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.48+2.25vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.58+1.26vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.78+1.99vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.65+1.08vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.73-2.18vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.66-1.11vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-0.68+1.88vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-0.53+0.80vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.10-2.85vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.27Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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4.25Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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4.26University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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5.99University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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6.08Harvard University1.650.1%1st Place
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3.82Roger Williams University2.730.2%1st Place
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5.89Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
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9.88Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.8University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
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7.15Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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5.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Hibben | 22.9% | 19.5% | 16.2% | 15.9% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Julien Guiot | 14.8% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 13.2% | 12.9% | 16.8% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Pearson | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 14.2% | 14.8% | 13.0% | 4.8% | 0.9% |
| Victoria Marquez | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 5.6% | 1.3% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 17.6% | 17.6% | 14.8% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 15.5% | 11.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 8.7% | 33.0% | 46.7% |
| Morgan Tanski | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 7.4% | 34.1% | 45.3% |
| Lucie Ford | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 23.4% | 13.1% | 4.0% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 7.0% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.