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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.48+3.30vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.66+4.03vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.78+2.97vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.73-0.15vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58-0.94vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.02-2.76vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-1.46vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.10-0.81vs Predicted
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9Harvard University1.65-2.81vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College-0.68-0.07vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.53-1.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.3Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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6.03Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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3.85Roger Williams University2.730.2%1st Place
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4.06University of Vermont2.580.2%1st Place
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3.24Brown University3.020.2%1st Place
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5.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.1%1st Place
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7.19Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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6.19Harvard University1.650.1%1st Place
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9.93Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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9.71University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Guiot | 11.9% | 15.5% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 5.3% | 1.5% |
| Christopher Pearson | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 12.3% | 5.7% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Petrovic | 16.1% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 14.6% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 16.4% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 23.6% | 20.3% | 20.0% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Lucie Ford | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 14.8% | 22.9% | 15.0% | 3.3% |
| Victoria Marquez | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 17.6% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 7.7% | 26.6% | 52.6% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 8.7% | 36.9% | 40.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.