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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Daniel Petrovic 15.6% 16.4% 16.9% 14.1% 12.4% 11.5% 7.7% 3.7% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Sophie Hibben 25.8% 18.9% 15.6% 14.7% 10.4% 7.3% 4.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Kurran Singh 6.0% 6.3% 6.2% 7.4% 9.4% 10.7% 15.3% 14.7% 15.6% 7.2% 1.2%
Lindsay Doyle 13.2% 14.0% 14.4% 14.2% 14.0% 10.7% 9.2% 5.9% 3.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Victoria Marquez 5.1% 8.2% 8.8% 6.3% 10.6% 11.2% 10.7% 16.3% 15.7% 6.6% 0.5%
Julien Guiot 13.5% 14.0% 13.3% 14.1% 12.6% 11.5% 8.0% 7.2% 4.8% 0.9% 0.1%
James Peraire-Bueno 8.2% 7.7% 8.0% 9.9% 10.5% 12.5% 15.1% 12.7% 10.9% 3.8% 0.7%
Matthew Schryver 8.4% 8.1% 10.6% 11.5% 11.6% 12.3% 11.5% 13.4% 9.5% 2.1% 1.0%
Alexie Lessing 0.7% 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 0.7% 1.8% 2.6% 3.5% 7.0% 28.4% 52.5%
Lucie Ford 3.0% 4.9% 4.6% 5.4% 6.6% 8.1% 12.5% 15.3% 23.0% 13.2% 3.4%
Morgan Tanski 0.5% 0.7% 0.8% 1.2% 1.2% 2.4% 3.4% 4.8% 7.9% 36.6% 40.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.