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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.73+2.86vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.02+1.20vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.66+3.28vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+0.28vs Predicted
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5Harvard University1.65+1.11vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.48-1.63vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80-1.34vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.94-2.61vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-0.68+0.95vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.10-2.84vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire-0.53-1.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86Roger Williams University2.730.2%1st Place
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3.2Brown University3.020.3%1st Place
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6.28Northeastern University1.660.1%1st Place
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4.28University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.11Harvard University1.650.1%1st Place
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4.37Tufts University2.480.1%1st Place
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5.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.1%1st Place
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5.39University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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9.95Middlebury College-0.680.0%1st Place
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7.16Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
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9.74University of New Hampshire-0.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Petrovic | 15.6% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Hibben | 25.8% | 18.9% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 15.6% | 7.2% | 1.2% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 13.2% | 14.0% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Victoria Marquez | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 15.7% | 6.6% | 0.5% |
| Julien Guiot | 13.5% | 14.0% | 13.3% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 11.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Schryver | 8.4% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 9.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Alexie Lessing | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 7.0% | 28.4% | 52.5% |
| Lucie Ford | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 23.0% | 13.2% | 3.4% |
| Morgan Tanski | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 36.6% | 40.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.