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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+5.40vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.48+5.23vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+3.92vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+5.85vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.80+4.78vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.13+2.53vs Predicted
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7Cornell University3.14+1.40vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.87+1.45vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97+0.09vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.39+1.72vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-1.72vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.98-2.59vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.16-4.79vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.73-0.48vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.25-7.07vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook1.41-1.16vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.84-11.08vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.44-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.23Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.92Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.85Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.78University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.53Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.4Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.45Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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9.09Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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11.72Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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9.41Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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8.21Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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13.52Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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7.93Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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14.84SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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5.92University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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14.51SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 9.8% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 5.8% |
| August Sturm | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 19.4% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 18.0% | 33.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.9% | 11.9% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.6% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 18.9% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.