← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy0.26+2.91vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.92+0.77vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Naval Academy0.94+0.18vs Predicted
-
4Washington College-0.55+1.80vs Predicted
-
5University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83+1.41vs Predicted
-
6Unknown School-1.19+1.25vs Predicted
-
7Princeton University-0.45-1.71vs Predicted
-
8Catholic University of America-1.92+0.84vs Predicted
-
9Drexel University-0.85-2.49vs Predicted
-
10Syracuse University-1.88-1.01vs Predicted
-
11St. John's College-2.38-1.16vs Predicted
-
12University of Delaware-2.05-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.91U. S. Naval Academy0.2615.5%1st Place
-
2.77St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9227.7%1st Place
-
3.18U. S. Naval Academy0.9422.1%1st Place
-
5.8Washington College-0.556.5%1st Place
-
6.41University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.835.5%1st Place
-
7.25Unknown School-1.193.5%1st Place
-
5.29Princeton University-0.458.6%1st Place
-
8.84Catholic University of America-1.922.0%1st Place
-
6.51Drexel University-0.854.6%1st Place
-
8.99Syracuse University-1.881.8%1st Place
-
9.84St. John's College-2.380.8%1st Place
-
9.2University of Delaware-2.051.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Linnea Forsberg | 15.5% | 17.1% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Scott Opert | 27.7% | 24.1% | 19.7% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Ziman | 22.1% | 22.6% | 17.2% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 13.0% | 13.9% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Henry Powell | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 14.1% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 1.2% |
| Walker Aprill | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 3.9% |
| Berkley Yiu | 8.6% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Christian Aron | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 15.2% | 18.1% | 17.8% |
| Lucas Randle | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Emily Geraghty | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 18.4% | 19.2% |
| Leo Schumwinger | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 20.7% | 33.7% |
| Brendan van Riper | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.