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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+6.30vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.16+6.61vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.13+5.72vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.98+4.89vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.80+4.70vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72+0.21vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College3.56-0.23vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+1.04vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75+1.01vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.97-0.62vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.14-2.51vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.25-3.64vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.73+0.62vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island3.84-8.39vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.87-5.58vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.39-4.46vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook1.41-2.15vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.44-3.50vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.61Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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8.72Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.89Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.7University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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6.21Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.77Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.0%1st Place
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10.01Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.38Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.49Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.36Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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13.62Connecticut College1.730.0%1st Place
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5.61University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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9.42Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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11.54Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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14.85SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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14.5SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Rebecca Quirke | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 20.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 13.2% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 5.9% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 18.2% | 34.2% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 12.7% | 19.9% | 27.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.