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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.72+5.46vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+3.97vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+4.29vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.98+4.99vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+4.13vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+4.12vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.16+1.38vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.25-0.02vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.56-2.28vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.13-1.18vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.80-0.97vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.39-0.15vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.87-3.58vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.98-1.25vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.97-5.89vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.14-7.52vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College1.44-2.18vs Predicted
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18SUNY Stony Brook1.41-3.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.46Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.29Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.99Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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10.12Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.38Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.98Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.72Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.82Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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10.03University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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11.85Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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9.42Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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12.75Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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9.11Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.48Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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14.82SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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14.68SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Kiss | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| August Sturm | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 7.7% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 12.2% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 0.7% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 10.8% | 18.5% | 34.4% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 18.1% | 31.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.