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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+6.34vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.80+8.10vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.13+5.73vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.84+1.72vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.25+3.01vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.72+0.25vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.87+2.58vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.16+0.30vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.39+2.51vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75+0.33vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.14-2.41vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97-2.51vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.56-6.36vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.98-1.30vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.97-5.96vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.98-6.85vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook1.41-2.09vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.44-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.34Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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8.73Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.72University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.01Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.25Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.58Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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8.3Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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11.51Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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10.33Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.59Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.0%1st Place
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6.64Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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12.7Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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9.04Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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9.15Roger Williams University2.980.0%1st Place
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14.91SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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14.62SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.6% | 12.3% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Kiss | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 5.2% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 2.9% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| August Sturm | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 12.9% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Stewart Draheim | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 10.1% | 18.4% | 36.1% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 18.8% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.