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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+9.19vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.25+6.24vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+4.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+4.99vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.72+1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.84-0.29vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.39+4.45vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.16+0.26vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.56-2.29vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.87-0.23vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.80-1.05vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.44+2.90vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-0.19vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.14-5.81vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.98-6.01vs Predicted
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16Yale University2.82-6.23vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook1.41-2.18vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.97-9.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.19Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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8.24Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.21Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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6.12Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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5.71University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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11.45Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.26Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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6.71Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.77Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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14.9SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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12.81Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.19Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.99Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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9.77Yale University2.820.0%1st Place
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14.82SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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8.92Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Digiovanni | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.5% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.4% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Joseph Kiss | 11.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 12.5% | 10.6% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.0% | 8.5% | 5.6% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% |
| Aidan Molesky | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 18.9% | 34.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 13.4% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 21.8% | 31.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.