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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy0.94+2.13vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland0.92+0.80vs Predicted
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3Princeton University-0.45+2.35vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy0.26-0.01vs Predicted
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5Washington College-0.55+0.85vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.85+0.48vs Predicted
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7Unknown School-1.13+0.22vs Predicted
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8University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.83-1.58vs Predicted
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9Catholic University of America-1.92-0.23vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-1.88-1.34vs Predicted
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11St. John's College-2.48-0.94vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-2.05-2.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.13U. S. Naval Academy0.9422.4%1st Place
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2.8St. Mary's College of Maryland0.9230.2%1st Place
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5.35Princeton University-0.457.9%1st Place
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3.99U. S. Naval Academy0.2613.9%1st Place
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5.85Washington College-0.556.6%1st Place
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6.48Drexel University-0.855.0%1st Place
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7.22Unknown School-1.133.6%1st Place
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6.42University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.834.2%1st Place
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8.77Catholic University of America-1.921.9%1st Place
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8.66Syracuse University-1.882.1%1st Place
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10.06St. John's College-2.480.9%1st Place
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9.27University of Delaware-2.051.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robert Ziman | 22.4% | 20.6% | 20.1% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Scott Opert | 30.2% | 22.7% | 17.6% | 11.5% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Berkley Yiu | 7.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 13.4% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Linnea Forsberg | 13.9% | 15.2% | 16.7% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austin Latimer | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Randle | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Conner Sciullo | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 14.5% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 3.6% |
| Henry Powell | 4.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 14.5% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 1.3% |
| Christian Aron | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 16.8% | 17.7% | 16.0% |
| Emily Geraghty | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 14.9% |
| David Lowry | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 18.6% | 39.2% |
| Brendan van Riper | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 15.8% | 21.9% | 21.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.