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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+4.90vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.80+8.05vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+4.22vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.87+5.36vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.56+1.76vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+4.03vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.97+2.07vs Predicted
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8Cornell University3.14+0.30vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97+0.04vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.82-0.01vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University2.98-1.82vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.98+1.24vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.16-4.80vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.72-8.07vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.39-3.61vs Predicted
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16Fordham University3.25-7.99vs Predicted
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17SUNY Stony Brook1.41-2.14vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College1.44-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.9University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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10.05University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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7.22Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.36Dartmouth College2.870.1%1st Place
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6.76Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.03Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.970.1%1st Place
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8.3Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.04Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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9.99Yale University2.820.1%1st Place
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9.18Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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13.24Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.2Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.93Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.39Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.01Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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14.86SUNY Stony Brook1.410.0%1st Place
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14.47SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 11.8% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.5% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| August Sturm | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.3% |
| Clark Uhl | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Dylan DiMarchi | 5.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Stewart Draheim | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 14.0% | 17.3% | 14.9% |
| Roberto Stevens | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 11.1% | 12.8% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Jeremy McCauley | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 19.1% | 34.7% |
| Aidan Molesky | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 18.9% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.