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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.25+5.35vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.94+5.46vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.71+5.35vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.20+5.99vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.38+0.71vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.43+3.25vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05-0.18vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.06-1.30vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75-1.06vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.61vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.09-4.19vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.43-2.40vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.87-1.89vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.51-5.41vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.76-3.35vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+0.18vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-5.50vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-2.14-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.35Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.46Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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8.35Fordham University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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5.71Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.25Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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6.82Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.7Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.94Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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6.81University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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9.6Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.11Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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8.59Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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11.65Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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16.18SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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11.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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17.63SUNY Maritime College-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Lamphere | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Gemperline | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 13.3% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.8% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.0% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.6% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Dakota Northrup | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 15.2% | 4.1% | 0.5% |
| Alex Moreno | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 19.1% | 5.4% | 0.2% |
| Peter Sander | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 7.5% | 65.0% | 13.1% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 12.7% | 17.6% | 5.8% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Daghir | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 10.0% | 85.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.