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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.43+8.39vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.94+5.44vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.25+3.30vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.51+4.79vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+1.77vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+0.66vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05-0.17vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75-0.12vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.38-3.41vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.20+0.31vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.71-2.70vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.43-2.43vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.94vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College1.76-2.61vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+1.23vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.86-4.56vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.87-5.61vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College-2.14-0.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.39Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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7.44Roger Williams University2.940.1%1st Place
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6.3Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.79Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.77Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.83Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.88Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.59Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.31Tufts University2.200.0%1st Place
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8.3Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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9.57Cornell University2.430.0%1st Place
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9.06University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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11.39Connecticut College1.760.0%1st Place
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16.23SUNY Stony Brook-0.280.0%1st Place
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11.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.860.0%1st Place
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11.39Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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17.65SUNY Maritime College-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Michael Gemperline | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Moreno | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Keller | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Matt Cappetta | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Balk | 3.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Julia Leighton | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 16.7% | 5.5% | 0.4% |
| Peter Sander | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 7.6% | 64.8% | 13.4% |
| Liam Ballantyne | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 5.5% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Daghir | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 10.0% | 85.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.